![\"\"](\"https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-user-content/o/inbox%2F113660%2Fd6c27cd9b953f74302e5d725b836eaee%2FSelection_040.png?generation=1590751229686289&alt=media\")
let's predict the final winner LB and medal zones.
\n\n0.92+ is doable with a single B0 trained on 75:25 split\nthe final (public) score could get to 0.96 and gold would be 0.95.
\n\nPS1: this is just a speculation - i.e i have no evidence yet and I just assume that larger models, better training, ensemble, metadata and external data will each give a significant boost.
\n\nPS2: if you have a track record in CV comps which includes minimum team gold or solo top2% and you are looking for a team to hunt gold reach out.
", "messages": [ { "id": 866408, "postDate": "2020-05-29T11:20:34.207Z", "content": "you can check the baseline performance of past ISIC competitions:\nhttps://challenge2019.isic-archive.com/leaderboard.html
\n\n
thanks @hengck23 this is worth reading.
\n\nthe winner got 0.928 on melanoma so we might beat that in less than 48h :) (we also have more data).
\n\nHowever, spending <5 minutes on reading the winning solution I have a feeling that many kagglers should beat their score.
", "rawMarkdown": "thanks @hengck23 this is worth reading. \n\nthe winner got 0.928 on melanoma so we might beat that in less than 48h :) (we also have more data).\n\nHowever, spending <5 minutes on reading the winning solution I have a feeling that many kagglers should beat their score.", "votes": 2 } ] }, { "id": 866345, "postDate": "2020-05-29T10:06:12.377Z", "content": "let's predict the final winner LB and medal zones.
\n\n0.92+ is doable with a single B0 trained on 75:25 split\nthe final (public) score could get to 0.96 and gold would be 0.95.
\n\nPS1: this is just a speculation - i.e i have no evidence yet and I just assume that larger models, better training, ensemble, metadata and external data will each give a significant boost.
\n\nPS2: if you have a track record in CV comps which includes minimum team gold or solo top2% and you are looking for a team to hunt gold reach out.
", "rawMarkdown": "let's predict the final winner LB and medal zones.\n\n0.92+ is doable with a single B0 trained on 75:25 split\nthe final (public) score could get to 0.96 and gold would be 0.95.\n\n**PS1**: this is just a speculation - i.e i have no evidence yet and I just assume that larger models, better training, ensemble, metadata and external data will each give a significant boost. \n\n**PS2**: if you have a track record in CV comps which includes minimum team gold or solo top2% and you are looking for a team to hunt gold reach out.", "votes": 3 }, { "id": 883012, "postDate": "2020-06-12T09:45:18.063Z", "content": "2 weeks into the competition and my speculation still holds :)
", "rawMarkdown": "2 weeks into the competition and my speculation still holds :)", "votes": 1, "replies": [ { "id": 883135, "postDate": "2020-06-12T11:53:20.573Z", "content": "Well the amount by which everyone is climbing the LB and dropping , and climbing, regularly, I think it's going to be a complete chaos at the end.\nPS: This is just a speculation :)
", "rawMarkdown": "Well the amount by which everyone is climbing the LB and dropping , and climbing, regularly, I think it's going to be a complete chaos at the end.\nPS: This is just a speculation :)", "votes": 2 }, { "id": 883140, "postDate": "2020-06-12T12:02:11.490Z", "content": "yes it will. the metric is super sensitive... and many of the top submissions are likely already overfitted to the LB. \nAt least I will not slide down from the first place :D
", "rawMarkdown": "yes it will. the metric is super sensitive... and many of the top submissions are likely already overfitted to the LB. \nAt least I will not slide down from the first place :D", "votes": 2 }, { "id": 883146, "postDate": "2020-06-12T12:09:42.500Z", "rawMarkdown": "", "votes": 1, "isDeleted": true } ] } ], "comments": [ { "id": 866408, "author_name": "hengck23", "author_url": "", "post_date": "2020-05-29T11:20:34.207000", "content": "you can check the baseline performance of past ISIC competitions:\nhttps://challenge2019.isic-archive.com/leaderboard.html
\n\n
thanks @hengck23 this is worth reading.
\n\nthe winner got 0.928 on melanoma so we might beat that in less than 48h :) (we also have more data).
\n\nHowever, spending <5 minutes on reading the winning solution I have a feeling that many kagglers should beat their score.
", "votes": 2, "replies": [] } ] }, { "id": 883012, "author_name": "Miroslav Valan", "author_url": "", "post_date": "2020-06-12T09:45:18.063000", "content": "2 weeks into the competition and my speculation still holds :)
", "votes": 1, "replies": [ { "id": 883135, "author_name": "", "author_url": "", "post_date": "2020-06-12T11:53:20.573000", "content": "Well the amount by which everyone is climbing the LB and dropping , and climbing, regularly, I think it's going to be a complete chaos at the end.\nPS: This is just a speculation :)
", "votes": 2, "replies": [] }, { "id": 883140, "author_name": "Miroslav Valan", "author_url": "", "post_date": "2020-06-12T12:02:11.490000", "content": "yes it will. the metric is super sensitive... and many of the top submissions are likely already overfitted to the LB. \nAt least I will not slide down from the first place :D
", "votes": 2, "replies": [] }, { "id": 883146, "author_name": "", "author_url": "", "post_date": "2020-06-12T12:09:42.500000", "content": "", "votes": 1, "replies": [] } ] } ], "raw_markdown_by_id": { "866408": "you can check the baseline performance of past ISIC competitions:\nhttps://challenge2019.isic-archive.com/leaderboard.html\n\n\n\n", "866345": "let's predict the final winner LB and medal zones.\n\n0.92+ is doable with a single B0 trained on 75:25 split\nthe final (public) score could get to 0.96 and gold would be 0.95.\n\n**PS1**: this is just a speculation - i.e i have no evidence yet and I just assume that larger models, better training, ensemble, metadata and external data will each give a significant boost. \n\n**PS2**: if you have a track record in CV comps which includes minimum team gold or solo top2% and you are looking for a team to hunt gold reach out.", "883012": "2 weeks into the competition and my speculation still holds :)" } }