{
  "id": 165252,
  "title": "Confidence Value Meaning?",
  "url": "/competitions/osic-pulmonary-fibrosis-progression/discussion/165252",
  "author_name": "",
  "post_date": "2020-07-09T03:02:29.896559200Z",
  "votes": 3,
  "comment_count": 5,
  "views": 0,
  "content": "<p>It didn't seem clear to me what the confidence value means. I assume it is an interval, but is it the 95% confidence interval? one standard deviation? I couldn't seem to find the answer anywhere.</p>",
  "messages": [
    {
      "id": "921021",
      "postDate": "07/09/2020 03:02:29",
      "content": "<p>It didn't seem clear to me what the confidence value means. I assume it is an interval, but is it the 95% confidence interval? one standard deviation? I couldn't seem to find the answer anywhere.</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "It didn't seem clear to me what the confidence value means. I assume it is an interval, but is it the 95% confidence interval? one standard deviation? I couldn't seem to find the answer anywhere.",
      "votes": null
    },
    {
      "id": "921458",
      "postDate": "07/09/2020 10:02:15",
      "content": "<p>It is the standard deviation</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "It is the standard deviation",
      "votes": null
    },
    {
      "id": "964962",
      "postDate": "08/10/2020 09:49:20",
      "content": "<p>You mean the standard deviation of all the predictions ? In that case it will be the same value for all rows of the submission file.</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "You mean the standard deviation of all the predictions ? In that case it will be the same value for all rows of the submission file.",
      "votes": null
    },
    {
      "id": "965051",
      "postDate": "08/10/2020 10:58:21",
      "content": "<p>The standard deviation of the model prediction at each point, in other words, what is the model's confidence in his prediction.</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "The standard deviation of the model prediction at each point, in other words, what is the model's confidence in his prediction.",
      "votes": null
    },
    {
      "id": "968445",
      "postDate": "08/13/2020 03:00:08",
      "content": "<p>The confidence means the standard deviation of your each prediction point not the deviation of all prediction. For example, does it means if your some prediction value is A and the confidence is b, so it may means your prediction varies between [A-b,A+b]?</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "The confidence means the standard deviation of your each prediction point not the deviation of all prediction. For example, does it means if your some prediction value is A and the confidence is b, so it may means your prediction varies between [A-b,A+b]?",
      "votes": null
    },
    {
      "id": "1004423",
      "postDate": "09/09/2020 17:51:55",
      "content": "<p>What does it mean by the standard deviation at each point , isn't it a property of a distribution?</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "What does it mean by the standard deviation at each point , isn't it a property of a distribution?",
      "votes": null
    }
  ],
  "comments": [
    {
      "id": 968445,
      "author_name": "qincheng",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "08/13/2020 03:00:08",
      "content": "<p>The confidence means the standard deviation of your each prediction point not the deviation of all prediction. For example, does it means if your some prediction value is A and the confidence is b, so it may means your prediction varies between [A-b,A+b]?</p>",
      "votes": null,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 1004423,
      "author_name": "ansumandas441",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "09/09/2020 17:51:55",
      "content": "<p>What does it mean by the standard deviation at each point , isn't it a property of a distribution?</p>",
      "votes": null,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 921458,
      "author_name": "ahmedhshahin",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "07/09/2020 10:02:15",
      "content": "<p>It is the standard deviation</p>",
      "votes": null,
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 964962,
          "author_name": "kanesoban",
          "author_url": "",
          "post_date": "08/10/2020 09:49:20",
          "content": "<p>You mean the standard deviation of all the predictions ? In that case it will be the same value for all rows of the submission file.</p>",
          "votes": null,
          "replies": []
        },
        {
          "id": 965051,
          "author_name": "ahmedhshahin",
          "author_url": "",
          "post_date": "08/10/2020 10:58:21",
          "content": "<p>The standard deviation of the model prediction at each point, in other words, what is the model's confidence in his prediction.</p>",
          "votes": null,
          "replies": []
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "raw_markdown_by_id": {
    "921021": "It didn't seem clear to me what the confidence value means. I assume it is an interval, but is it the 95% confidence interval? one standard deviation? I couldn't seem to find the answer anywhere.",
    "921458": "It is the standard deviation",
    "964962": "You mean the standard deviation of all the predictions ? In that case it will be the same value for all rows of the submission file.",
    "965051": "The standard deviation of the model prediction at each point, in other words, what is the model's confidence in his prediction.",
    "968445": "The confidence means the standard deviation of your each prediction point not the deviation of all prediction. For example, does it means if your some prediction value is A and the confidence is b, so it may means your prediction varies between [A-b,A+b]?",
    "1004423": "What does it mean by the standard deviation at each point , isn't it a property of a distribution?"
  },
  "source": "meta"
}