{
  "id": 584920,
  "title": "June 16 update analysis",
  "url": "/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/584920",
  "author_name": "Ravi Ramakrishnan",
  "post_date": "2025-06-16T20:58:40.302000",
  "votes": 14,
  "comment_count": 0,
  "views": 0,
  "content": "<p>Hello all,</p>\n<p>We have a leaderboard update as on date and the figure below delves into the regions of interest, between this update and the leaderboard update from Feb-25 to May-25 as well.</p>\n<h2>LB update - June versus May</h2>\n<p><img src=\"https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2Ffb1f0c5ea6aafbd1e6b85892432c1484%2FJuneVMay.png?generation=1750106964901369&amp;alt=media\" alt=\"\"></p>\n<h2>LB update - June versus April</h2>\n<p><img src=\"https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2Fec096de30b48900dbb996f85e7ea97f5%2FJuneVApril.png?generation=1750107005056263&amp;alt=media\" alt=\"\"></p>\n<h2>LB update - June versus March</h2>\n<p><img src=\"https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2F5930e4bde5740a796549396e945af6a0%2FJuneVMarch.png?generation=1750107039414683&amp;alt=media\" alt=\"\"></p>\n<h2>LB update - June versus February</h2>\n<p><img src=\"https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2F1253c64a80641e1c08f20d9649c96b52%2FJuneVFeb.png?generation=1750107073839200&amp;alt=media\" alt=\"\"></p>\n<p>Past update discussions are placed here-</p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/578717\" target=\"_blank\">May</a></li>\n<li><a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/572179\" target=\"_blank\">April</a></li>\n<li><a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/567316\" target=\"_blank\">March</a> </li>\n<li><a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/562435\" target=\"_blank\">Feb</a></li>\n</ul>\n<p>We have a moderate level of churn across updates, especially considering the recent developments in the stock markets driven by Government policy actions. </p>\n<h2>LB update - May versus April</h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Region label</th>\n<th>Description</th>\n</tr>\n</thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>R1</td>\n<td>* This region illustrates the top 10% participants in the competition that remained stable across the 2 updates. This region is quick thick, indicating good stability! Congratulations to these participants for the stable performance</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>R2</td>\n<td>* This region illustrates the participants falling off the perch in this update from a top public LB position in the previous update <br> * This is one of the key areas to consider in forecasting competitions! <br> * This region is moderately dense, illustrating that a few of the top scorers in the previous LB update have fallen off the perch here!</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>R3</td>\n<td>* This region illustrates the participants rising in the private leaderboard by beating the churn! Congratulations for the performance and hope for the best! <br> * This region is also moderately dense, with a few participants rising through, akin to the fallers in region R2</td>\n</tr>\n</tbody>\n</table>\n<h3>Analysis of the top 10% teams for stability</h3>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Medal zone label</th>\n<th>Last rank</th>\n<th>Comments</th>\n<th>Stability Ratio</th>\n</tr>\n</thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Gold medal</td>\n<td>17</td>\n<td>* Stable teams =   16 <br> * Entering from below =  1</td>\n<td>16/ 17 = 94.11%</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Silver medal</td>\n<td>187</td>\n<td>* Stable teams = 152 <br> * Entering from below = 17 <br> * Entering from above = 1</td>\n<td>152 / 170 = 89.41%</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Bronze medal</td>\n<td>375</td>\n<td>* Stable teams =  107 <br> * Entering from below = 78  <br> * Entering from above = 3</td>\n<td>107/ 188 = 56.91%</td>\n</tr>\n</tbody>\n</table>\n<h2>Other adjutant observations</h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Observation</th>\n<th>Previous update</th>\n<th>Current update</th>\n</tr>\n</thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>* Highest upward movement across the leaderboards - overall</td>\n<td>1006</td>\n<td>152</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>* Highest downward movement across the leaderboards - overall</td>\n<td>416</td>\n<td>2772</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>* Highest upward movement across the leaderboards in R1 region</td>\n<td>180</td>\n<td>67</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>* Highest downward movement across the leaderboards and finishing in R1</td>\n<td>159</td>\n<td>236</td>\n</tr>\n</tbody>\n</table>\n<p><br>Finally, wishing you the best for the future updates, happy learning and best regards! For those in R2, please note that we have a number of updates remaining and you could still make it across the 1 month remaining!</p>\n<p>All the best!</p>\n<p>Regards,<br>\nRavi Ramakrishnan</p>",
  "messages": [
    {
      "id": 3225790,
      "postDate": "2025-06-16T20:58:40.303Z",
      "content": "<p>Hello all,</p>\n<p>We have a leaderboard update as on date and the figure below delves into the regions of interest, between this update and the leaderboard update from Feb-25 to May-25 as well.</p>\n<h2>LB update - June versus May</h2>\n<p><img src=\"https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2Ffb1f0c5ea6aafbd1e6b85892432c1484%2FJuneVMay.png?generation=1750106964901369&amp;alt=media\" alt=\"\"></p>\n<h2>LB update - June versus April</h2>\n<p><img src=\"https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2Fec096de30b48900dbb996f85e7ea97f5%2FJuneVApril.png?generation=1750107005056263&amp;alt=media\" alt=\"\"></p>\n<h2>LB update - June versus March</h2>\n<p><img src=\"https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2F5930e4bde5740a796549396e945af6a0%2FJuneVMarch.png?generation=1750107039414683&amp;alt=media\" alt=\"\"></p>\n<h2>LB update - June versus February</h2>\n<p><img src=\"https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2F1253c64a80641e1c08f20d9649c96b52%2FJuneVFeb.png?generation=1750107073839200&amp;alt=media\" alt=\"\"></p>\n<p>Past update discussions are placed here-</p>\n<ul>\n<li><a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/578717\" target=\"_blank\">May</a></li>\n<li><a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/572179\" target=\"_blank\">April</a></li>\n<li><a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/567316\" target=\"_blank\">March</a> </li>\n<li><a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/562435\" target=\"_blank\">Feb</a></li>\n</ul>\n<p>We have a moderate level of churn across updates, especially considering the recent developments in the stock markets driven by Government policy actions. </p>\n<h2>LB update - May versus April</h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Region label</th>\n<th>Description</th>\n</tr>\n</thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>R1</td>\n<td>* This region illustrates the top 10% participants in the competition that remained stable across the 2 updates. This region is quick thick, indicating good stability! Congratulations to these participants for the stable performance</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>R2</td>\n<td>* This region illustrates the participants falling off the perch in this update from a top public LB position in the previous update <br> * This is one of the key areas to consider in forecasting competitions! <br> * This region is moderately dense, illustrating that a few of the top scorers in the previous LB update have fallen off the perch here!</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>R3</td>\n<td>* This region illustrates the participants rising in the private leaderboard by beating the churn! Congratulations for the performance and hope for the best! <br> * This region is also moderately dense, with a few participants rising through, akin to the fallers in region R2</td>\n</tr>\n</tbody>\n</table>\n<h3>Analysis of the top 10% teams for stability</h3>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Medal zone label</th>\n<th>Last rank</th>\n<th>Comments</th>\n<th>Stability Ratio</th>\n</tr>\n</thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>Gold medal</td>\n<td>17</td>\n<td>* Stable teams =   16 <br> * Entering from below =  1</td>\n<td>16/ 17 = 94.11%</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Silver medal</td>\n<td>187</td>\n<td>* Stable teams = 152 <br> * Entering from below = 17 <br> * Entering from above = 1</td>\n<td>152 / 170 = 89.41%</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>Bronze medal</td>\n<td>375</td>\n<td>* Stable teams =  107 <br> * Entering from below = 78  <br> * Entering from above = 3</td>\n<td>107/ 188 = 56.91%</td>\n</tr>\n</tbody>\n</table>\n<h2>Other adjutant observations</h2>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Observation</th>\n<th>Previous update</th>\n<th>Current update</th>\n</tr>\n</thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>* Highest upward movement across the leaderboards - overall</td>\n<td>1006</td>\n<td>152</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>* Highest downward movement across the leaderboards - overall</td>\n<td>416</td>\n<td>2772</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>* Highest upward movement across the leaderboards in R1 region</td>\n<td>180</td>\n<td>67</td>\n</tr>\n<tr>\n<td>* Highest downward movement across the leaderboards and finishing in R1</td>\n<td>159</td>\n<td>236</td>\n</tr>\n</tbody>\n</table>\n<p><br>Finally, wishing you the best for the future updates, happy learning and best regards! For those in R2, please note that we have a number of updates remaining and you could still make it across the 1 month remaining!</p>\n<p>All the best!</p>\n<p>Regards,<br>\nRavi Ramakrishnan</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "Hello all,\n\nWe have a leaderboard update as on date and the figure below delves into the regions of interest, between this update and the leaderboard update from Feb-25 to May-25 as well.\n\n## LB update - June versus May\n\n![](https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2Ffb1f0c5ea6aafbd1e6b85892432c1484%2FJuneVMay.png?generation=1750106964901369&alt=media)\n\n## LB update - June versus April\n\n![](https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2Fec096de30b48900dbb996f85e7ea97f5%2FJuneVApril.png?generation=1750107005056263&alt=media)\n\n## LB update - June versus March\n\n![](https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2F5930e4bde5740a796549396e945af6a0%2FJuneVMarch.png?generation=1750107039414683&alt=media)\n\n## LB update - June versus February\n\n![](https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2F1253c64a80641e1c08f20d9649c96b52%2FJuneVFeb.png?generation=1750107073839200&alt=media)\n\nPast update discussions are placed here-\n- [May](https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/578717)\n- [April](https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/572179)\n- [March](https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/567316) \n- [Feb](https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/562435)\n\nWe have a moderate level of churn across updates, especially considering the recent developments in the stock markets driven by Government policy actions. \n\n## LB update - May versus April\n\n| Region label | Description |\n| --- | --- | \n| R1 |  * This region illustrates the top 10% participants in the competition that remained stable across the 2 updates. This region is quick thick, indicating good stability! Congratulations to these participants for the stable performance |\n| R2 |  * This region illustrates the participants falling off the perch in this update from a top public LB position in the previous update <br> * This is one of the key areas to consider in forecasting competitions! <br> * This region is moderately dense, illustrating that a few of the top scorers in the previous LB update have fallen off the perch here! |\n| R3 |  * This region illustrates the participants rising in the private leaderboard by beating the churn! Congratulations for the performance and hope for the best! <br> * This region is also moderately dense, with a few participants rising through, akin to the fallers in region R2|\n\n### Analysis of the top 10% teams for stability\n\n| Medal zone label | Last rank  | Comments | Stability Ratio | \n| --- | --- | ----- | ----------------- | \n| Gold medal   |  17 | * Stable teams =   16 <br> * Entering from below =  1 | 16/ 17 = 94.11% | \n| Silver medal  | 187 | * Stable teams = 152 <br> * Entering from below = 17 <br> * Entering from above = 1 | 152 / 170 = 89.41% | \n| Bronze medal  | 375| * Stable teams =  107 <br> * Entering from below = 78  <br> * Entering from above = 3  |  107/ 188 = 56.91% | \n\n## Other adjutant observations\n\n| Observation | Previous update  | Current update | \n| --- | --- | ---- | \n| * Highest upward movement across the leaderboards - overall | 1006 | 152  | \n| * Highest downward movement across the leaderboards - overall | 416  | 2772  | \n| * Highest upward movement across the leaderboards in R1 region |180| 67 | \n| * Highest downward movement across the leaderboards and finishing in R1 | 159 | 236 | \n\n<br>Finally, wishing you the best for the future updates, happy learning and best regards! For those in R2, please note that we have a number of updates remaining and you could still make it across the 1 month remaining!\n\nAll the best!\n\nRegards,\nRavi Ramakrishnan",
      "votes": 14
    }
  ],
  "comments": [],
  "raw_markdown_by_id": {
    "3225790": "Hello all,\n\nWe have a leaderboard update as on date and the figure below delves into the regions of interest, between this update and the leaderboard update from Feb-25 to May-25 as well.\n\n## LB update - June versus May\n\n![](https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2Ffb1f0c5ea6aafbd1e6b85892432c1484%2FJuneVMay.png?generation=1750106964901369&alt=media)\n\n## LB update - June versus April\n\n![](https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2Fec096de30b48900dbb996f85e7ea97f5%2FJuneVApril.png?generation=1750107005056263&alt=media)\n\n## LB update - June versus March\n\n![](https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2F5930e4bde5740a796549396e945af6a0%2FJuneVMarch.png?generation=1750107039414683&alt=media)\n\n## LB update - June versus February\n\n![](https://www.googleapis.com/download/storage/v1/b/kaggle-forum-message-attachments/o/inbox%2F8273630%2F1253c64a80641e1c08f20d9649c96b52%2FJuneVFeb.png?generation=1750107073839200&alt=media)\n\nPast update discussions are placed here-\n- [May](https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/578717)\n- [April](https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/572179)\n- [March](https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/567316) \n- [Feb](https://www.kaggle.com/competitions/jane-street-real-time-market-data-forecasting/discussion/562435)\n\nWe have a moderate level of churn across updates, especially considering the recent developments in the stock markets driven by Government policy actions. \n\n## LB update - May versus April\n\n| Region label | Description |\n| --- | --- | \n| R1 |  * This region illustrates the top 10% participants in the competition that remained stable across the 2 updates. This region is quick thick, indicating good stability! Congratulations to these participants for the stable performance |\n| R2 |  * This region illustrates the participants falling off the perch in this update from a top public LB position in the previous update <br> * This is one of the key areas to consider in forecasting competitions! <br> * This region is moderately dense, illustrating that a few of the top scorers in the previous LB update have fallen off the perch here! |\n| R3 |  * This region illustrates the participants rising in the private leaderboard by beating the churn! Congratulations for the performance and hope for the best! <br> * This region is also moderately dense, with a few participants rising through, akin to the fallers in region R2|\n\n### Analysis of the top 10% teams for stability\n\n| Medal zone label | Last rank  | Comments | Stability Ratio | \n| --- | --- | ----- | ----------------- | \n| Gold medal   |  17 | * Stable teams =   16 <br> * Entering from below =  1 | 16/ 17 = 94.11% | \n| Silver medal  | 187 | * Stable teams = 152 <br> * Entering from below = 17 <br> * Entering from above = 1 | 152 / 170 = 89.41% | \n| Bronze medal  | 375| * Stable teams =  107 <br> * Entering from below = 78  <br> * Entering from above = 3  |  107/ 188 = 56.91% | \n\n## Other adjutant observations\n\n| Observation | Previous update  | Current update | \n| --- | --- | ---- | \n| * Highest upward movement across the leaderboards - overall | 1006 | 152  | \n| * Highest downward movement across the leaderboards - overall | 416  | 2772  | \n| * Highest upward movement across the leaderboards in R1 region |180| 67 | \n| * Highest downward movement across the leaderboards and finishing in R1 | 159 | 236 | \n\n<br>Finally, wishing you the best for the future updates, happy learning and best regards! For those in R2, please note that we have a number of updates remaining and you could still make it across the 1 month remaining!\n\nAll the best!\n\nRegards,\nRavi Ramakrishnan"
  }
}