I have been searched on the discussion board for a while, and not yet got a meaningful explanation for the target \"deal_probability.\"
\n\nMy experience gives me a sense that this kind of website may not have a good track of the deal results (whether or not the deal is made, the final price) of the item, let alone a calculated probability. That may make this problem result in fitting their \"deal_probability\" calculation metric.
\n\nDoes anyone have a good thought on that?
", "messages": [ { "id": "327044", "postDate": "05/10/2018 18:25:11", "content": "I have been searched on the discussion board for a while, and not yet got a meaningful explanation for the target \"deal_probability.\"
\n\nMy experience gives me a sense that this kind of website may not have a good track of the deal results (whether or not the deal is made, the final price) of the item, let alone a calculated probability. That may make this problem result in fitting their \"deal_probability\" calculation metric.
\n\nDoes anyone have a good thought on that?
", "rawMarkdown": "I have been searched on the discussion board for a while, and not yet got a meaningful explanation for the target \"deal_probability.\" \n\nMy experience gives me a sense that this kind of website may not have a good track of the deal results (whether or not the deal is made, the final price) of the item, let alone a calculated probability. That may make this problem result in fitting their \"deal_probability\" calculation metric.\n\nDoes anyone have a good thought on that?", "votes": null }, { "id": "327285", "postDate": "05/11/2018 07:24:08", "content": "I've been using Avito myself a few times to sell stuff, and one of the things they ask when you unpublish an ad is the reason for doing so. The options there include something like \"Sold via Avito\", \"Sold somewhere else\", \"Don't want to sell\". Probably, there are other reasons in this list, which I don't remember, but this may be the way they identify the event of a deal.
", "rawMarkdown": "I've been using Avito myself a few times to sell stuff, and one of the things they ask when you unpublish an ad is the reason for doing so. The options there include something like \"Sold via Avito\", \"Sold somewhere else\", \"Don't want to sell\". Probably, there are other reasons in this list, which I don't remember, but this may be the way they identify the event of a deal.", "votes": null }, { "id": "327460", "postDate": "05/11/2018 15:46:59", "content": "This also confused me, if a item is solded then the 'deal_probability' should be 1 otherwise 0. I don't understand how do they got this decimal probablity.
", "rawMarkdown": "This also confused me, if a item is solded then the 'deal_probability' should be 1 otherwise 0. I don't understand how do they got this decimal probablity.", "votes": null }, { "id": "327572", "postDate": "05/11/2018 22:32:39", "content": "Many thanks!\nSeems probably the \"deal_probability\" is a weighted function of the list reasons and other factors (i.e. \"Sold via Avito\" * 1- \"listed period\"*0.2, or \"Sold somewhere else\"= 0.8....)
", "rawMarkdown": "Many thanks!\nSeems probably the \"deal_probability\" is a weighted function of the list reasons and other factors (i.e. \"Sold via Avito\" * 1- \"listed period\"*0.2, or \"Sold somewhere else\"= 0.8....)", "votes": null } ], "comments": [ { "id": 327285, "author_name": "rinatmks", "author_url": "", "post_date": "05/11/2018 07:24:08", "content": "I've been using Avito myself a few times to sell stuff, and one of the things they ask when you unpublish an ad is the reason for doing so. The options there include something like \"Sold via Avito\", \"Sold somewhere else\", \"Don't want to sell\". Probably, there are other reasons in this list, which I don't remember, but this may be the way they identify the event of a deal.
", "votes": null, "replies": [ { "id": 327572, "author_name": "zehaiwang", "author_url": "", "post_date": "05/11/2018 22:32:39", "content": "Many thanks!\nSeems probably the \"deal_probability\" is a weighted function of the list reasons and other factors (i.e. \"Sold via Avito\" * 1- \"listed period\"*0.2, or \"Sold somewhere else\"= 0.8....)
", "votes": null, "replies": [] } ] }, { "id": 327460, "author_name": "marrvolo", "author_url": "", "post_date": "05/11/2018 15:46:59", "content": "This also confused me, if a item is solded then the 'deal_probability' should be 1 otherwise 0. I don't understand how do they got this decimal probablity.
", "votes": null, "replies": [] } ], "raw_markdown_by_id": { "327044": "I have been searched on the discussion board for a while, and not yet got a meaningful explanation for the target \"deal_probability.\" \n\nMy experience gives me a sense that this kind of website may not have a good track of the deal results (whether or not the deal is made, the final price) of the item, let alone a calculated probability. That may make this problem result in fitting their \"deal_probability\" calculation metric.\n\nDoes anyone have a good thought on that?", "327285": "I've been using Avito myself a few times to sell stuff, and one of the things they ask when you unpublish an ad is the reason for doing so. The options there include something like \"Sold via Avito\", \"Sold somewhere else\", \"Don't want to sell\". Probably, there are other reasons in this list, which I don't remember, but this may be the way they identify the event of a deal.", "327460": "This also confused me, if a item is solded then the 'deal_probability' should be 1 otherwise 0. I don't understand how do they got this decimal probablity.", "327572": "Many thanks!\nSeems probably the \"deal_probability\" is a weighted function of the list reasons and other factors (i.e. \"Sold via Avito\" * 1- \"listed period\"*0.2, or \"Sold somewhere else\"= 0.8....)" }, "source": "meta" }