{
  "id": 93773,
  "title": "How good the final results will be",
  "url": "/competitions/LANL-Earthquake-Prediction/discussion/93773",
  "author_name": "",
  "post_date": "2019-05-29T22:40:00.731751900Z",
  "votes": 4,
  "comment_count": 5,
  "views": 0,
  "content": "<p>I would like to suggest a betting competition: how good the final results will be. </p>\n\n<p>To start, I bet the best solutions will be around 1.92.  I know the jump between my LB score from 1.6 to 1.4 and CV score jump and that's how I guess. I believe Private LB is similar to training data.</p>",
  "messages": [
    {
      "id": "539323",
      "postDate": "05/29/2019 22:40:00",
      "content": "<p>I would like to suggest a betting competition: how good the final results will be. </p>\n\n<p>To start, I bet the best solutions will be around 1.92.  I know the jump between my LB score from 1.6 to 1.4 and CV score jump and that's how I guess. I believe Private LB is similar to training data.</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "I would like to suggest a betting competition: how good the final results will be. \n\nTo start, I bet the best solutions will be around 1.92.  I know the jump between my LB score from 1.6 to 1.4 and CV score jump and that's how I guess. I believe Private LB is similar to training data.",
      "votes": null
    },
    {
      "id": "539845",
      "postDate": "05/30/2019 15:47:18",
      "content": "<p>stresfull!</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "stresfull!",
      "votes": null
    },
    {
      "id": "542253",
      "postDate": "06/03/2019 16:07:09",
      "content": "<p>My guess is MAE: 1.85</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "My guess is MAE: 1.85",
      "votes": null
    },
    {
      "id": "542276",
      "postDate": "06/03/2019 16:36:47",
      "content": "<p>Aside from the numbers, the final results will be good when you have around 4500 teams competing. </p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "Aside from the numbers, the final results will be good when you have around 4500 teams competing.",
      "votes": null
    },
    {
      "id": "542341",
      "postDate": "06/03/2019 18:11:59",
      "content": "<p>my guess: 2.12</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "my guess: 2.12",
      "votes": null
    },
    {
      "id": "543488",
      "postDate": "06/04/2019 14:58:29",
      "content": "<p>Or maybe worse ;-)</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "Or maybe worse ;-)",
      "votes": null
    }
  ],
  "comments": [
    {
      "id": 539845,
      "author_name": "frtgnn",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "05/30/2019 15:47:18",
      "content": "<p>stresfull!</p>",
      "votes": null,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 542253,
      "author_name": "teeyee314",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "06/03/2019 16:07:09",
      "content": "<p>My guess is MAE: 1.85</p>",
      "votes": null,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 542276,
      "author_name": "mhviraf",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "06/03/2019 16:36:47",
      "content": "<p>Aside from the numbers, the final results will be good when you have around 4500 teams competing. </p>",
      "votes": null,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 542341,
      "author_name": "bandits",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "06/03/2019 18:11:59",
      "content": "<p>my guess: 2.12</p>",
      "votes": null,
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 543488,
          "author_name": "bandits",
          "author_url": "",
          "post_date": "06/04/2019 14:58:29",
          "content": "<p>Or maybe worse ;-)</p>",
          "votes": null,
          "replies": []
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "raw_markdown_by_id": {
    "539323": "I would like to suggest a betting competition: how good the final results will be. \n\nTo start, I bet the best solutions will be around 1.92.  I know the jump between my LB score from 1.6 to 1.4 and CV score jump and that's how I guess. I believe Private LB is similar to training data.",
    "539845": "stresfull!",
    "542253": "My guess is MAE: 1.85",
    "542276": "Aside from the numbers, the final results will be good when you have around 4500 teams competing.",
    "542341": "my guess: 2.12",
    "543488": "Or maybe worse ;-)"
  },
  "source": "meta"
}