{
  "id": 77970,
  "title": "What makes these forecasts useful?",
  "url": "/competitions/LANL-Earthquake-Prediction/discussion/77970",
  "author_name": "Corey Carlson",
  "post_date": "2019-01-18T06:51:56.988000",
  "votes": 0,
  "comment_count": 5,
  "views": 0,
  "content": "<p>I am curious about what makes an earthquake event time forecast useful.  Is it important to predict far into the future?  How accurate does the prediction need to be?</p>",
  "messages": [
    {
      "id": 458433,
      "postDate": "2019-01-19T16:06:01.573Z",
      "content": "<p>30 secs warning before the earthquake can save many lives!</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "30 secs warning before the earthquake can save many lives!",
      "votes": 1,
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 458507,
          "postDate": "2019-01-19T20:01:45.993Z",
          "content": "<p>I think we need at least enough time to scram a nuclear power station</p>",
          "rawMarkdown": "I think we need at least enough time to scram a nuclear power station"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 458107,
      "postDate": "2019-01-18T19:32:45.237Z",
      "content": "<p>Any prediction should be for events far enough in the future so you can do something about it. \nThe sun will go red giant in 5 billions years or so but I couldn't care less ;)</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "Any prediction should be for events far enough in the future so you can do something about it. \nThe sun will go red giant in 5 billions years or so but I couldn't care less ;)",
      "votes": -1,
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 458206,
          "postDate": "2019-01-19T04:41:49.483Z",
          "content": "<p>I am curious if far enough in the future is minutes, hours, or days.</p>",
          "rawMarkdown": "I am curious if far enough in the future is minutes, hours, or days."
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 457830,
      "postDate": "2019-01-18T06:51:56.990Z",
      "content": "<p>I am curious about what makes an earthquake event time forecast useful.  Is it important to predict far into the future?  How accurate does the prediction need to be?</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "I am curious about what makes an earthquake event time forecast useful.  Is it important to predict far into the future?  How accurate does the prediction need to be?\n"
    },
    {
      "id": 457885,
      "postDate": "2019-01-18T09:11:48.477Z",
      "rawMarkdown": "",
      "isDeleted": true
    }
  ],
  "comments": [
    {
      "id": 458433,
      "author_name": "Mousheng Xu",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2019-01-19T16:06:01.573000",
      "content": "<p>30 secs warning before the earthquake can save many lives!</p>",
      "votes": 1,
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 458507,
          "author_name": "Scirpus",
          "author_url": "",
          "post_date": "2019-01-19T20:01:45.993000",
          "content": "<p>I think we need at least enough time to scram a nuclear power station</p>",
          "votes": 0,
          "replies": []
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 458107,
      "author_name": "Scirpus",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2019-01-18T19:32:45.237000",
      "content": "<p>Any prediction should be for events far enough in the future so you can do something about it. \nThe sun will go red giant in 5 billions years or so but I couldn't care less ;)</p>",
      "votes": -1,
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 458206,
          "author_name": "Corey Carlson",
          "author_url": "",
          "post_date": "2019-01-19T04:41:49.483000",
          "content": "<p>I am curious if far enough in the future is minutes, hours, or days.</p>",
          "votes": 0,
          "replies": []
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 457885,
      "author_name": "",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2019-01-18T09:11:48.477000",
      "content": "",
      "votes": 0,
      "replies": []
    }
  ],
  "raw_markdown_by_id": {
    "458433": "30 secs warning before the earthquake can save many lives!",
    "458107": "Any prediction should be for events far enough in the future so you can do something about it. \nThe sun will go red giant in 5 billions years or so but I couldn't care less ;)",
    "457830": "I am curious about what makes an earthquake event time forecast useful.  Is it important to predict far into the future?  How accurate does the prediction need to be?\n",
    "457885": ""
  }
}